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My last 10K race, the Classic 10K in Middletown New York on June 14th, was my worst performance of the year, finishing in 59 minutes and 34 seconds. I have shaved over four minutes off this time per my training run this week. I would love to run the Classic 10K race next year in under 50 minutes.
The Twilight Trot race is scheduled to be run at 6:30 pm on Sunday. It is sponsored by GEARS or the Greater Elizabethtown Area Recreation & community Services. Chances are the temperature will be in the mid 80's. The tolerable or intolerable run determinant will be the humidity level. I get the impression this will be a hilly course. Since E-town is only 15-20 minutes away, the commute will not be an issue. I believe my family will be in attendance for this race.
If you extrapolate from my last 5K performance of 23 minutes and 21 seconds using the McMillanRunning.com website, I should be able to run a 48 minutes 28 second 10K race. This assumes I will only slow down 16 seconds per kilometer for ten kilometers in comparison to my recorded 5K pace. It also assumes I have sufficiently trained for a 10K. I would regard this time as a best case scenario.
Barring excessive temperatures or humidity or a course with excessively hilly terrain, I believe I can break 53 minutes for this 10K race. We'll see the role my increased adrenaline and new racing shoes will play in the outcome of this next race.
Notes: Exactly forty days until I run my first half marathon. My weight has dipped slightly below 190 pounds as I begin to log longer trainer runs. I had mentioned previously I wanted to be down to 184 pounds on half marathon race day. I was at 188 pounds this morning.
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